The interesting thing about this column from my colleague Mike McFeely , which criticizes me for writing consistently about North Dakota’s Senate race (which will be, I promise you, the biggest story of the year in our state), is not once does it criticize anything I’ve written about Senator Heidi Heitkamp.
North Dakota Democrats are slamming Congressman Kevin Cramer today after he said in an interview with WDAY Television that what tipped the scales on his decision to challenge Democratic incumbent Heidi Heitkamp in the U.S. Senate race was oil billionaire Harold Hamm asking him to run. (Full disclosure, I work for WDAY’s parent company Forum Communications and I broadcast a daily show for WDAY Radio.)
MINOT, N.D. — Recently while interviewing Kelly Armstrong, a state Senator from Dickinson and a Republican candidate for North Dakota's U.S. House seat, he told me that he doesn't believe a "blue wave" is coming to North Dakota. That's a term some commentators have used to describe the likelihood of Democratic gains this election year. You might expect a Republican like Armstrong to be dismissive, given where his interests lay, but there's data to support his conclusion.
North Dakota Democrats have decided to campaign against the income tax cuts our Republican-dominated Legislature implemented in successive sessions from 2009 onward. The individual income tax rate went from a 1.84 – 4.86 percent range to its current 1.10 – 2.90 percent. The argument from Democrats, now echoed in a recent editorial in the Grand Forks Herald , is that these tax reductions destabilized the state’s budget and made the state more dependent on tax revenues from the volatile oil and gas industry.
In my Sunday print column I mentioned something I want to expand on a bit here on the blog. “Even Heitkamp’s own campaign staff appears to be enjoying the tax reductions,” I wrote after noting that Senator Heidi Heitkamp voted against the Trump tax cuts. “Federal disclosure reports show several of her staffers enjoyed slight bumps in their pay after the tax reform’s passage in keeping with lower rates of tax withholding.” Here’s what I was writing about.
MINOT, N.D. — Last week Senate incumbent Heidi Heitkamp's campaign rolled out her first video advertising of the election cycle. Like many observers, I was surprised to see that it was a rerun. An ad featuring Heitkamp and her family goofing on one another which the campaign used in 2012. Why would Heitkamp, at the beginning of what is perhaps the most important political campaign of her life, lead with regurgitated political messaging?
Over in Minnesota the opponents of Enbridge’s Line 3 Replacement project have promised protests akin to what we here in North Dakota saw against the Dakota Access Pipeline.
Since July of last year tracking polling from Morning Consult has shown a steady decline in Senator Heidi Heitkamp’s approval numbers. From July of last year through the end of March the number of North Dakotans saying they approve of Heitkamp went from 60 percent down to 47 percent while the number saying the disapprove climbed.
Should President Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize for his work in bringing North and South Korea together for peace talks? My position is…maybe. I’d like to see what the outcome is before we go handing out awards. I think giving Trump the peace prize at this point is premature. Just as it was when Barack Obama won a Nobel Peace Prize for doing nothing more than beating John McCain in 2008. But a group of members of Congress have signed on to a letter backing Trump for the prize, among them North Dakota’s own Kevin Cramer:
It’s not exactly breaking news to say that President Donald Trump will be actively campaigning in North Dakota this year. He visited our state during his 2016 campaign. He visited last year to promote tax reform. Vice President Mike Pence has visited the state, and as colleague John Hageman reported last month , our state has been a popular destination for members of Trump’s cabinet.